Man-made disasters are a different category altogether. These are usually in the form of things like:
- Economic collapse
- Banking System/Federal Reserve
- Martial law
- Riots
There are likely many more man-made disasters that we can face, but personally, I think Economic Collapse and Inflation are the ones that have greater odds of happening.
Economic Collapse and Inflation
By no means am I an expert on this topic, and I am sure there are others who have studied this more in-depth than I have, but I do want to share what I have learned so far.
Economic Collapse
Generally speaking, the economy works in a pattern, like so many other things we experience. Every year, we know there will be a Spring, Summer, Autumn and Winter – those seasons happen every year.
The pattern of the economy is that a full cycle of boom, peak, trough, recovery happens about every 10-ish years. Every generation (about 25 years), you can expect to see a depression or a recession. Over a lifetime, you can likely expect to see 2 recessions and 1 depression.
As of October 2019, it’s been just about 10 years since the “Great Recession” of 2008-2009. The lowest point in the DJIA was December 2009 as I recall.
Given these patterns, essentially, we are due for another one basically at any time…..and there are some experts that say that should our next economic collapse be an economic depression, it could be worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Should this be the case, and it is worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s, I think it would be worse for two major reasons:
No More Gold Standard
For anyone that isn’t aware, President Nixon took us “temporarily” off the Gold Standard in 1971. Up until that time, the United States currency and money supply was valued and available, respectively, based on the gold holdings of the country.
Once the country went off the gold standard, the Federal Reserve was able to print as many dollars as their printers would allow at their discretion, with no regard to the gold reserves the country has.
The US dollar, since 1971 has been backed by the FAITH AND GOOD CREDIT OF THE UNITED STATES. Now, if this statement doesn’t scare you into a cold sweat at the very least, consider that the US Debt as of the time stamp of this post is $22,835,838,565,510…..and the US has a AA+ credit rating by Standard and Poor’s.
By comparison, this is like saying that an individual has almost $23 Trillion in debt with a perfect personal credit rating, which would in reality NEVER happen.
The currency for the United States is a fiat currency and has ZERO value should other countries lose confidence in the United States economy and currency.
General Population have No Skills
Now, there are skills that people have, but by comparison to the 1930s – we as a general population are in trouble.
The Millennials and Gen Z (and likely all if not most of the generations that follow) will continue to have problems with what is affectionately called “Adulting”.
Being a Millennial myself (well, technically I am considered a Xennial), I am certainly not exempt from my moments of “adulting is hard”. Mostly, I just really don’t want to do “adulting” things, not so much that I can’t do them (or at the very least figure it out).
I have the capability to cook, but the variety is very low in all honesty. Fortunately, I can read and follow a recipe…and I am very proud of myself for finally getting the yeast to hot water thing right when making bread from scratch (third time really was the charm in my case). However, I don’t think there are many that are in my generation or younger that would be able to have the patience or the ability to follow a recipe. Hopefully I am wrong.
In the event of a Great Depression, we have fewer gardens and the skill to work and cultivate gardens. I have personally unintentionally killed a couple of rosemary plants, at least one basil plant, an apple tree and have yet to successfully grow potatoes or tomatoes. I have, however, been able to keep alive my lavender and mint plants, and was able to revive my aloe plant….so, small wins!
Beyond this, the women of the Great Depression were mostly housewives. They knew how to make meals out of basic ingredients, they knew how to preserve them, make the food stretch over time and they also had the skills to sew, knit, crochet and “upcycle” practically everything before it became a buzzword in the early 2000s.
The general theme of the time was “use it up, wear it out, make it do or do without”.
I don’t think people would be able to live that way when everyone is attempting to literally like the Kardashians and other Hollywood elites.
Further, no one has much skill to fix things. Over time, starting in the post-WW2 world, items were made less and less fixable. It’s become cheaper to buy a new one than it is to get the part that needs repair and fix it.
My parents got a microwave about a month before I was born in 1985. We had that microwave until about 2010. A part broke and the parts were no longer made, so we had to get a new one. If the parts were still made, I am not sure if it would have been cheaper to get a new part or a new microwave of crappier quality, but it likely would’ve come out in favor of the crappy quality microwave.
There are likely many more skills that my generation and the younger generations don’t have, which will put us in a not good situation should an economic depression occur on the next go around.
Banking System/Federal Reserve
There is a lot that the general population doesn’t understand about how money works in the country. By no means am I an expert, but I seem more informed than the average person on the street from my observations.
The Federal Reserve, despite the name, is not part of the Federal Government of the United States. They are “as federal as Federal Express” as the saying goes. They report to no one and they are responsible to no one (but this depends on who you talk to).
I am personally not a fan of the Federal Reserve…..I see them as the drug dealers of the economy. The drug is what is deemed money (the dollars in your pocket or bank account) that gets injected into circulation.
When it comes to the banking system, I see it as a necessary evil considering the general operation of society. There isn’t much possibility to get around it. Do I trust the banks….not really.
But they have that guarantee of $250k from the Great Depression, why wouldn’t you trust them?
Remember those bank holidays in Greece around 2013/2014? They closed the banks and people lined up at the ATMs like bread lines and could only get $50 max out of their accounts per day….once the ATM ran out of money, that was it. And, as far as I recall, the debit cards didn’t work at grocery stores. If they did, there were likely similar spending limits on them too.
Imagine if you woke up and all of a sudden had that happen…does that $250k guarantee make you feel better? Does that pay your bills? Does that feed you and your family?
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I am not aware of any widgets on WordPress for twitter. I usually just grab the link for the new blog post and make a post ready and use the scheduler available for a tweet.
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P.S Apologies for getting off-topic but I had to
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